Sunday, July 22, 2018

dice decay probabilities

Messing around with supply dice in a game. Here are the average number of times you can expect a die of a size to last if it decays to the next smaller sizer on a 1 or a 2, then be expended after 1.


dminimum usesavg uses
12613.03
1059.23
846.12
633.71
422.00

2 comments:

  1. What did you use to calculate this? I tried to do a brute force approximation in Python but it never really worked

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    Replies
    1. sorry, i missed this question for... a long time. it's a spreadsheet w/ some combinatorics - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RI3Ue5pODm_MLOePkBx1r6d-0Fb805holKQPitgkWrA/edit?usp=sharing

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